OK, this sounds like good news, doesn’t I? Last month’s figures showed a fall in GDP, and three of those in a row equals ‘technical recession’. These latest figures show we’re growing; by not a lot, but would guess that most would take it. Today, however, we heard that inflation is up, rather than down. By not a lot, in fact only as much as the economy has grown, but still up rather than down, and what’s going on in the Red Sea is predicted to make lots of stuff more expensive still. The key factor is whether interest rates will have to go up again, to in theory stop us from being able to afford that stuff that we can’t afford anyway because it’s already so expensive. Confused? I’d say even the economists are most of the time. My best guess is that they won’t go up further, just might not go down very quickly. Pain, gain, etc….
“Do not expect America’s interest rates to fall just yet”
As rehearsed many times on these pages, the next move onwards and upwards for your investments depends largely on the decisions of various bankers and economists in what would once have been ‘smoke-filled rooms’.